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Nowcasting French GDP Growth During Exceptional Periods

Rédigé par : Lina Bourassi, Antoine Claisse, Louise Phung

The series of crises from 2020 to 2023 has impacted France’s GDP and its growth drivers. The diminished performance of existing nowcasting models required alternative models to be developed. These alternative models show that supply factors became predominant determinants of French GDP growth in the recent period, corroborating our analysis of business outlook survey data.... Lire la suite

Miniature
Trésor-Eco

World Economic Outlook in Spring 2024 Moderate and Uneven Growth

Rédigé par : Équipes chargées des prévisions internationales

DG Trésor projects that the global economy will expand by 3.1% in 2024 and 3.2% in 2025. This growth rate is slightly higher than expectations from the summer but remains below the pre-pandemic average, underscoring the effects of monetary tightening and geopolitical uncertainties. Growth in advanced economies is expected to be moderate, with significant disparities among countries. Meanwhile, eme... Lire la suite